Understanding Japan’s Megaquake Advisory: The Risk of a 98-ft Tsunami


Japan on Tuesday issued a uncommon “megaquake advisory” after a magnitude 7.5 earthquake struck off the jap coast of Aomori, simply south of Hokkaido.

Photo taken from a Kyodo News airplane on December 9, 2025, shows a collapsed road in Tohoku in Aomori Prefecture, northeastern Japan, following a strong earthquake that struck the region the previous night in this photo taken by Kyodo.(REUTERS)
Picture taken from a Kyodo Information airplane on December 9, 2025, reveals a collapsed street in Tohoku in Aomori Prefecture, northeastern Japan, following a robust earthquake that struck the area the earlier night time on this picture taken by Kyodo.(REUTERS)

Whereas the quake brought on solely modest harm, 34 principally delicate accidents and restricted impression on roads and buildings, officers mentioned the tremor briefly raised the danger of a a lot bigger quake within the area, in accordance with the Related Press. Officers added that the advisory just isn’t a forecast. The probability of a magnitude 8 or stronger earthquake stays low, a few per cent.

However authorities hope the alert will encourage residents to arrange for the worst, recalling the 2011 disaster that killed practically 20,000 individuals and triggered the Fukushima nuclear catastrophe.

Japan’s Meteorological Company (JMA), as reported by AP, mentioned there’s an elevated probability of a robust, magnitude-eight-plus quake throughout the subsequent week. Residents in coastal belts have been urged to remain alert, maintain emergency kits prepared and evacuate shortly if wanted.

Why Japan’s north is at increased threat

The JMA says Monday’s quake elevated seismic dangers alongside the Hokkaido-Sanriku coast, the place the Pacific Plate dives beneath Japan, forming the Japan Trench and Chishima Trench — zones accountable for most of the nation’s largest historic earthquakes.

Specialists cited by AP information company, mentioned that the devastating 2011 earthquake and tsunami have been attributable to motion alongside the identical Japan Trench.

The JMA additionally identified that the 2011 magnitude 9.0 megaquake was preceded simply two days earlier by a magnitude 7.3 temblor in the identical zone, much like the sample seen this week.

The 2011 tsunami, which reached 15 metres (50 toes) in some areas, ravaged coastal communities in Iwate, Miyagi and Fukushima and destroyed the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant, leaving deep, long-lasting fears over radiation publicity.

What a future megaquake may appear to be

Authorities estimates, cited by the information company, warn that one other offshore megaquake within the Hokkaido–Sanriku area may unleash a 30-metre (98-foot) tsunami, kill as much as 1,99,000 individuals, destroy 2,20,000 constructions and trigger practically 31 trillion yen ($198 billion) in financial losses.

As much as 42,000 individuals may additionally undergo hypothermia if such a catastrophe happens in winter.

The present advisory spans 182 municipalities from Hokkaido right down to Chiba Prefecture — one of many widest geographical alerts issued lately.

This week’s advisory is extra cautious and particular than the same one issued final 12 months. In summer time 2024, a broad “Nankai Trough” megaquake advisory for southern Japan triggered public nervousness, panic shopping for and widespread occasion cancellations due to its ambiguity.

(With AP inputs)



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