The Incarnate Phrase Cardinals tackle the TCU Horned Frogs in Fort Value, Texas. Tip-off is about for 8 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
TCU is favored by -17.5 factors on the unfold with a worth of 55 cents to win and the full set at 145.5 factors on Fanatics Markets.
Right here’s my Incarnate Phrase vs. TCU predictions and faculty basketball picks for December 15, 2025.
Incarnate Phrase vs TCU Prediction
My Decide: TCU -17.5 (Play to -19)
My Incarnate Phrase vs TCU finest guess is on the Horned Frogs to cowl the unfold. For all your faculty basketball bets, you should definitely discover the most effective strains through the use of our stay NCAAB odds web page.
Incarnate Phrase vs. TCU Odds
(In the event you’re unfamiliar with Fanatics Markets, learn extra right here.)
Incarnate Phrase vs TCU Faculty Basketball Betting Preview
Incarnate Phrase Basketball
Incarnate Phrase is within the midst of its third yr underneath Shane Heisman, and its crutch has been inconsistency. With only a 5-5 file, the Cardinals have struggled to keep up something resembling a good protection.
Their solely good win this season has come in opposition to McNeese, which was a four-point victory on their house courtroom. Of their different 4 wins, three have been in opposition to non-Division I opponents, with the fourth coming in opposition to 311th-ranked Southern Indiana.
Their greatest struggles have come on the defensive facet, as they rank 316th in adjusted defensive effectivity. Additionally they ranked 351st in 2-point area aim proportion allowed and 348th in efficient area aim proportion total.
They wrestle to create turnovers and allow groups to get to the free-throw line at a excessive charge.
Additionally they wrestle to make free throws, hitting simply 69.9% of their freebies. That is an issue contemplating they get to the free-throw line at a excessive charge.
It is a slow-paced group that ranks 306th in adjusted tempo and 330th in common possession size, that are troubling indicators if it falls behind.
Jamie Dixon has been afforded one other season on the helm in Fort Value, and in his tenth marketing campaign, he might have the most effective roster he is had total at TCU.
This group has been actually inconsistent — just like the vistors.
The Horned Frogs have a robust win in opposition to Florida, however a horrible loss in opposition to New Orleans. Additionally they misplaced to Michigan — the No. 1 group within the land — by simply 4 factors.
They rank 112th in offensive adjusted effectivity and twentieth in defensive adjusted effectivity.
Their offense will probably look to use the inconsistencies of the Cardinals’ protection.
Additionally they misplaced their final house recreation in opposition to Notre Dame, so we are able to anticipate a valiant effort right here.
Incarnate Phrase vs. TCU Betting Evaluation
This unfold is sitting proper round 17.5, and with how Incarnate Phrase comes into this recreation, it’s simply not sufficient factors.
The Cardinals are actually inconsistent on protection, and their 5 losses have proven they’re struggling.
This TCU group will even be the highest-rated group the Cardinals have confronted, coming in at 56th in KenPom’s rankings. Incarnate Phrase confronted Colorado State, which is ranked 62nd in KenPom, and misplaced by 34 factors.
Their different losses have been shut, however their final three defeats have come in opposition to groups ranked 100 or worse in KenPom.
I’ll lay the chalk right here.
My Decide: TCU -17.5 (Play to -19)
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