The Buffalo Bulls tackle the UMBC Retrievers in Baltimore, MD. Tip-off is ready for five p.m. ET on ESPN+.
Buffalo is favored by -2.5 factors on the unfold with a moneyline of -148. The whole is ready at 144.5 factors.
Right here’s my Buffalo vs. UMBC prediction and school basketball picks for December 9, 2025.
Buffalo vs UMBC Prediction
My Choose: UMBC ML +110 (Play to -115)
My Buffalo vs UMBC greatest wager is on the Retrievers to cowl the unfold. For your whole school basketball bets, you should definitely discover the very best strains through the use of our dwell NCAAB odds web page.
Tuesday, December 9
5 p.m. ET
ESPN+
| Buffalo Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Unfold | Whole | Moneyline |
|
-2.5 -115 |
144.5 -115 / -105 |
-148 |
| UMBC Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Unfold | Whole | Moneyline |
|
+2.5 -105 |
144.5 -115 / -105 |
+124 |
- Buffalo vs UMBC unfold: Buffalo -2.5
- Buffalo vs UMBC over/underneath: 144.5 factors
- Buffalo vs UMBC moneyline: Buffalo -148, UMBC +124
Buffalo vs UMBC NCAAB Betting Preview
Buffalo comes into this matchup with a formidable 8-1 document because of robust 3-point capturing and protection.
Nevertheless, it’s powerful to disregard the Bulls’ power of schedule, which ranks close to the underside of faculty basketball. Out of the 360+ groups within the sport, the Bulls rank 350th.
Of their eight wins, seven have come in opposition to groups ranked exterior the highest 200 in KenPom’s rankings. Their lone lack of the season was in opposition to the best power-rated group they’ve performed (St. Bonaventure), and it got here on their residence flooring.
On the plus facet, they’ve Daniel Freitag, a 6-foot-2 guard out of Minnesota who is available in averaging 19.8 factors, 4.2 rebounds and three.1 assists per sport.
The Bulls’ success has been predicated on robust guard play, as Freitag’s 19+ factors are aided by Ryan Sabol and Angelo Brizzi, each of whom common greater than 15 factors per sport.
This group takes quite a lot of 3s, and that’s as a result of it has been afforded the open seems to be. It is likely to be a unique story right here because the Bulls journey to Maryland to face the Retrievers.
UMBC comes into this sport with a really respectable 6-3 document. At face worth, the Retrievers face extra formidable opponents, as they rank 87 spots larger than the Bulls in power of schedule.
They’ve three losses and all have come on the street (Dayton, Georgetown, George Washington). All three groups additionally rank within the prime 100 in KenPom’s energy rankings, and so they misplaced by single digits to each Dayton and Georgetown.
Their metrics is likely to be just a little skewed as a result of they’ve confronted extra vigorous opponents, however I like their capability to search out open photographs on this sport. In addition they are way more balanced scoring the ball than Buffalo.
One factor each groups have in frequent is their capability to gradual the tempo down. Count on a extra managed sport, and it ought to be shut.
Buffalo vs. UMBC Betting Evaluation
Whereas Buffalo has the higher document and doubtless the very best participant on the courtroom, it will be laborious for me to facet with it.
The Retrievers common simply two factors fewer than the Bulls, and so they do it and not using a single scorer averaging 15 factors or extra. In the meantime, Buffalo has three.
Like I discussed earlier than, the Retrievers do it with a balanced method, and the Bulls’ offensive power may meet a group that has the protection to gradual them down.
The Bulls shoot a ton from 3 and the Retrievers are the Thirteenth-best group at limiting opponents from scoring from past the arc.
I like groups that rating by committee, and if the Bulls can’t get any contributions exterior of their prime three guards, I am unsure they’ve sufficient late.
My Choose: UMBC ML +110 (Play to -115)
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