Week 15‘s slate of Sunday video games wraps up with the Dallas Cowboys internet hosting the Minnesota Vikings on “Sunday Evening Soccer.”
The Cowboys are preventing to maintain their playoff hopes alive after seeing their three-game win streak come to an finish final week in opposition to the Detroit Lions. The Cowboys (6-6-1) are in second place within the NFC East however are +600 to make the playoffs.
The Vikings (5-8) are coming off a win over the Washington Commanders that snapped a four-game slide, however their playoff chances are high nearly nil (250-1).
The Cowboys are 5.5-point favorites at dwelling Sunday evening in opposition to the Vikings.
Matt Bowen, Liz Loza, Pamela Maldonado, Ben Solak and Seth Walder provide their picks, prop bets, DFS performs and evaluation that can assist you guess the sport.
Be aware: Odds supplied by DraftKings and topic to alter.
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Picks | Props | DFS ideas | Developments
Recreation picks
Vikings +5.5 (-110)
Maldonado: It is the correct of uncomfortable. The Cowboys can rating, however they face a Minnesota protection that has been lights-out in opposition to the go for a month, dwelling in two-high and forcing quarterbacks into lengthy and boring drives. That is the place the Cowboys stall. And the Dallas secondary has been a weekly donation field for WR1s, which lastly provides the Vikings offense an actual path to maintain tempo.
Notable participant props, bets
J.J. McCarthy first-quarter passing yards 40+ (-124)
Solak: McCarthy has been remarkably higher on-script than off-script. On the Vikings’ first two possessions of the sport, he has a dropback success charge of fifty% and a completion proportion of 71.4% — he averages 8.2 yards per go try. On all different possessions, he has a 36% success charge and 52.4% completion proportion. His yards per try fall to five.5. Provided that the Cowboys are a pass-funnel protection, I do need some publicity to McCarthy via the air, however I am solely when he is nonetheless on Kevin O’Connell scripted performs.
Javonte Williams over 70.5 yards speeding (-115)
Bowen: Williams has rushed for 71 or extra yards in three of his previous 5 video games, and he will get a Vikings protection that leans on split-safety coverages. Williams will see some gentle fronts to assault in opposition to a Minnesota group that’s giving up 126.8 speeding yards per recreation.
Aaron Jones Sr. over 14.5 receiving yards (-113)
Loza: Jones’ manufacturing has underwhelmed, having logged only a single run of 20 or extra yards all season (Week 9). And though he has averaged a meager 16.7 receiving yards per recreation (RB39), he has managed to register at the least 15 receiving yards in 5 of his previous seven outings. Given the Cowboys’ bolstered line of defense, McCarthy figures to pepper Jones within the hopes of advancing the ball and retaining the competition shut. With a yards-per-reception common of seven.5, Jones must convert on simply two targets to get to this quantity. He ought to Sunday evening.
Quinnen Williams beneath 4.5 tackles + assists (-145)
Walder: Williams has been taking part in effectively since he was traded to the Cowboys, however this deal with line is just too excessive. Williams has gone over this mark in simply 4 of 12 video games this season and zero occasions as a Cowboy. It is attainable that my mannequin may very well be satisfied if the Cowboys have been heavy underdogs within the recreation — thus predicting a run-heavy recreation script from their opponent — however that isn’t the case on Sunday evening in opposition to McCarthy and the Vikings. Heading into Sunday, there was no deal with prop on the board my mannequin preferred greater than Williams 4.5 at -145.
Each day fantasy ideas for DraftKings Captain Showdown
Bowen’s suggestions
Dak Prescott ($15,600): Prescott must take some beneath throws versus the Vikings’ two-deep shells, however he has topped 300 yards passing in three straight video games, with a number of touchdowns in two.
Additionally in my lineup: George Pickens ($14,700). Let’s roll with the upside of Pickens versus the Vikings’ cornerbacks. Pickens has seen at the least 9 targets in six straight video games, and he has the explosive-play capacity to take the highest off the protection.
Walder’s suggestions
Javonte Williams ($14,100): The sport consequence I need to again here’s a Cowboys blowout with the Vikings struggling to maneuver the ball in any respect. That would make Prescott an inexpensive captain, too, however my thought right here is that Dallas may very well be to date forward that they take the ball out of Prescott’s arms early. In the meantime, Williams may get a heavy workload and, ideally, a few scores with Dallas in command of the sport.
Additionally in my lineup: Cowboys DST ($4,400). This suits the theme of a straightforward Cowboys win, however I additionally need the protection in right here as a result of I need to particularly fade McCarthy. He is coming off his greatest recreation, but it surely got here in opposition to the Commanders, who’ve arguably the worst go protection within the NFL. I have to see McCarthy string collectively a number of weeks in opposition to higher competitors earlier than I consider he does not symbolize a giant alternative for opposing fantasy defenses.
Betting developments
Courtesy of ESPN Analysis
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5 straight Vikings video games have gone beneath the whole. The Vikings are 1-4 ATS in that span.
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Overs are 9-4 in Cowboys video games this season, the best over charge within the NFL.
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The Cowboys are 4-1 ATS of their previous 5 dwelling video games.
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