Dec. 8, 2025, 12:45 p.m. CT
The Inexperienced Bay Packers have taken management of the NFC North and, for the second, have the No. 2 seed within the NFC playoffs with 4 video games to play. Is their playoff spot protected? The New York Occasions playoff simulator tasks that … effectively, sure, it appears fairly protected. This is the way it seems.
What are the percentages the Packers make the playoffs?
The New York Occasions places these odds at 95%.
If Inexperienced Bay loses a tough street take a look at to the Broncos subsequent week, the proportion likelihood drops, however solely to 92% in a vacuum (with out another outcomes factored in). A victory would put odds at near-certainty stage, larger than 99%.
May the Packers really clinch a playoff spot subsequent week?
Not fairly but. A win would put the Packers at 10-3-1 and, even when the Seahawks, 49ers, Bears, Cowboys and Lions (going through the Rams) all misplaced subsequent week, there stays a state of affairs the place the Packers would miss out on a playoff berth.
The Packers may nonetheless end 10-6-1. One of many Buccaneers and Panthers must decide up a seventh loss due to head-to-head conferences, that means one would win the South (with a minimal of six losses) and one can be behind the Packers, so these groups would not matter within the wild-card pursuit if the Packers beat the Broncos.
The Lions may end 3-0 to finish up at 11-6; the Bears would lose as soon as to the Lions in that case however nonetheless end 11-6, as effectively, that means one would get the division and one would get a wild-card berth. That leaves two wild-card spots for the Packers to realize.
The Rams would enhance to 11-3 after a win subsequent week over the Lions after which may end no worse than 11-6. The Seahawks may beat the Rams head-to-head in Week 16 and end no worse than 11-6. Even with a baked-in loss to the Bears in Week 17, the 49ers may beat Indianapolis in Week 16 and Seattle in Week 18 to complete 11-6. That is sufficient groups ending forward of Inexperienced Bay to maintain the Packers out.
The Cowboys would not have the ability to catch Inexperienced Bay with a Packers win and Cowboys loss subsequent week.
What are the Packers possibilities of successful the No. 1 seed?
The Packers are squarely within the hunt for the highest total seed within the NFC.
The New York Occasions at the moment provides Inexperienced Bay a ten% likelihood of snagging that spot and the first-round bye that comes with it. A part of the issue is that the Rams and Seahawks face off as soon as extra, so a type of groups is assured to have one other win (or a tie) by season’s finish, and the Packers want each to lose no less than as soon as.
If the Packers beat Denver, their possibilities of getting the No. 1 seed enhance to 18%.
If the Seahawks and Rams each lose subsequent week to the Colts and Lions, respectively, the Packers transfer into the No. 1 spot however their possibilities of holding it are simply 38%.
Do the Packers have the hardest remaining schedule within the NFL?
For the previous few weeks, the Packers have ranked at or close to the highest of hardest remaining NFL schedule (by opponent successful proportion), however now that the Packers are cleared of the 9-win Bears, it is a bit of bit friendlier.
The Packers are nonetheless tied for second with the Lions (.596) for the hardest remaining schedule within the NFC, behind Seattle (second total, .654). The Colts (.692) have the hardest total within the NFL.
Chicago (.567) is correct behind the Lions and Packers. San Francisco (.558) is twelfth. The Rams, present holders of the highest spot within the NFC, are nineteenth (.481), with seemingly straightforward video games forward in opposition to the Falcons and Cardinals.
The Seahawks and 49ers each face the Colts, however that workforce has misplaced three straight video games and simply misplaced quarterback Daniel Jones to severe damage.
What’s the Packers remaining schedule?
The Packers play at Denver (11-2), at Chicago (9-4), vs. Baltimore (6-7) and at Minnesota (5-8).
What’s the Bears remaining schedule?
Chicago finishes with three house video games out of 4 contests closing the 12 months vs. Cleveland (3-10), vs. Inexperienced Bay (9-3-1), at San Francisco (9-4) and vs. Detroit (8-5).
What’s the Lions remaining schedule?
Just like the Packers, the Lions have just one house sport remaining. They end at Los Angeles (10-3), vs. Pittsburgh (7-6), at Minnesota (5-8) and at Chicago (9-4).
What are the remaining schedules for the Rams, Seahawks and 49ers?
- Los Angeles: vs. Detroit (8-5), at Seattle (10-3), at Atlanta (4-9), vs. Arizona (3-10)
- Seattle: vs. Indianapolis (8-5), vs. Los Angeles (10-3), at Carolina (7-6), at San Francisco (9-4)
- San Francisco: vs. Tennessee (2-11), at Indianapolis (8-5), vs. Chicago (9-4), vs. Seattle (10-3)
Are the Packers cheering for the Rams or the Lions subsequent week?
If Detroit wins, it provides the Packers a slight bump of their pursuit of the No. 1 seed. If the Rams win, it will increase the possibilities barely that the Packers will make the playoffs in any respect. If you happen to’re snug within the latter, then you definitely in all probability need the previous. If you happen to’d reasonably simply see the Packers get into the dance and fear about seeds one other time, then you definitely in all probability need the Rams to win.
What occurs if the Packers lose to the Broncos subsequent week?
Inexperienced Bay has a tall order occurring the street to face the highest workforce within the AFC. With a loss, the New York Occasions predicts the Packers’ possibilities of getting the No. 1 total seed fall to 2%, however they’d nonetheless have a 92% likelihood of constructing the playoffs.
Even when every little thing goes flawed subsequent week: Inexperienced Bay loses, Chicago wins, the Seahawks win, the 49ers win and Detroit beats the Rams, even the Cowboys win … the Packers likelihood of constructing the playoffs remains to be roughly 82% heading into Week 16, and nonetheless 2% of getting the No. 1 seed. If the Rams beat the Lions with every little thing else taking place as talked about, the No. 1 seed might be gone, however the likelihood of constructing the playoffs stays at 93%.
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