Week 15‘s slate of video games wraps up with the Miami Dolphins visiting the Pittsburgh Steelers on “Monday Evening Soccer.”
The Steelers (+105) are proper there with the Baltimore Ravens (-125) because the AFC North favorites after upsetting the Ravens final week.
The Dolphins, seemingly out of the hunt a month in the past, have run off 4 straight wins however are nonetheless lengthy photographs to make the playoffs at 300-1.
Pittsburgh is a 3-point favourite at house Monday evening.
Matt Bowen, Liz Loza, Pamela Maldonado and Ben Solak provide their picks, prop bets, DFS performs and evaluation that will help you guess the sport.
Observe: Odds offered by DraftKings and topic to vary.
Soar to:
Picks | Props | DFS suggestions | Traits
Sport picks
Dolphins +3
Maldonado: The automated assumption is Tua Tagovailoa in chilly climate… go along with the Steelers. Simple. Miami has already preemptively solved the chilly drawback by eradicating Tua from the equation. The Dolphins have gone full run-first, low-variance, shortened-the-game mode, and have gained 4 straight doing precisely that. Fewer passes, extra Achane and Wright, bleed the clock, restrict errors. Chilly and wind solely reinforce that plan. Pittsburgh wants strain and early disruption to create separation and that is more durable in a compressed sport.
Dolphins ML (+160)
Solak: The renaissance of the Dolphins’ working sport down the again half of this season has been a pleasure to observe. Tua has tried 23 or fewer passes in 4 consecutive video games for the primary time ever in Mike McDaniel’s tenure because the Dolphins have morphed right into a run-first offensive method that creates explosives behind an improved offensive line and with a gamut of gifted ball carriers. The Steelers’ run protection is not a very spectacular unit (twenty seventh in EPA per rush confronted) and is especially weak at linebacker, the place the Dolphins assault greatest. I’m not as anxious about fading Tua in a chilly climate sport now that the Dolphins depend on him a lot much less. They’ve the higher unit on each side of the ball on this sport.
Notable participant props, bets
0:51
Dopp: Jaylen Waddle is a top-15 fantasy WR in Week 15
Daniel Dopp explains why a good matchup in opposition to the Steelers’ protection makes Jaylen Waddle a top-15 fantasy broad receiver choice.
Kenneth Gainwell over 3.5 receptions (-116)
Bowen: Gainwell has six or extra receptions in three of his final 4 video games. An beneath outlet for Aaron Rodgers, search for Gainwell to hit this over.
Jaylen Waddle longest reception OVER 21.5 receiving yards (-120)
Loza: Miami has discovered success leaning on the bottom sport. Nonetheless, Waddle has continued to gather deep balls, recording 12 catches of twenty-two or extra yards (T-WR8 with CeeDee Lamb) to date into 2025 (together with whereas chasing factors within the group’s most up-to-date loss versus Baltimore again in Week 9). In the meantime, the Steelers secondary has, not solely, given up the second-most receptions to boundary receivers, but in addition 14 grabs of twenty-two or extra yards, together with three to Zay Flowers final Sunday. Tua Tagovailoa may battle within the chilly, however Waddle is nice for a minimum of one deep catch.
Day by day fantasy suggestions for DraftKings Captain Showdown
Bowen’s suggestions Captain (scores 1.5x fantasy factors): De’Von Achane ($19,500). Let’s take Achane due to the quantity — 23 or extra touches in three of his final 4 video games — and the explosive play upside. Achane has 35 rushes of 10 or extra yards, tied for many within the league. Additionally in my lineup: Jaylen Warren ($9,000). I am sticking with the working sport on Warren — and the scoring upside. Warren has a landing in three straight video games. Loza’s suggestions Captain (scores 1.5x fantasy factors): De’Von Achane ($19,200). Miami ought to proceed to lean on Achane’s dual-threat attraction, particularly given the chilly temps and windy circumstances at Pittsburgh. Achane has averaged over 22 fantasy factors per sport (clearing 16 fantasy factors in every sport) since Week 7. The Steelers will, clearly, be hurting with T.J. Watt out of the lineup. Additionally in my lineup: Steelers Protection ($6,000). Tua is tied with Geno Smith for essentially the most picks thrown (14) on the season. He is good for a minimum of one INT on the highway and within the chilly. Courtesy of ESPN Analysis The Dolphins have misplaced 13 straight video games when the kickoff temperature is 40 levels or colder (2-11 ATS), together with playoffs. Temperatures are anticipated to be within the excessive teenagers, with doable gentle snow. The Dolphins are 4-11 ATS of their final 15 video games as a highway underdog. The Steelers are 4-1 ATS of their final 5 video games in opposition to shedding groups (4-2 ATS this season). The Steelers are 0-3 outright and ATS in prime time this season.
Betting developments
Leave a Reply