The pc service KenPom.com has a metric for “luck,” which is outlined as “the deviation between a group’s precise file and its anticipated file primarily based on game-by-game effectivity.”
Basically, if groups win extra video games than their offensive and defensive efficiency suggests they need to, they’re thought-about “fortunate.” In the event that they lose greater than they should, they’re “unfortunate.”
It measures how a lot groups are over- or under-performing of their effectivity metrics, and the Raiders are rated 365th out of 365 groups.
Once they went 2-9 in both additional time video games or video games determined by 4 factors or fewer final season, they have been 319th within the “luck” class.
The Raiders’ 5 wins this yr have come by 17 factors or extra, and three of their six losses have been fingernail-gnawers: one in additional time and two by a mixed three factors — all away from house.
However whereas their file could possibly be a lot better, coach Clint Sargent wouldn’t need to attribute the destructive outcomes to forces past their management. They’re not snakebit.
He believes they merely must carry out higher in crunch time.
“I believed we have been fairly resilient,” he mentioned of the 76-74 loss at Marshall on Saturday. “We had quite a lot of guys at completely different instances step up and compete by means of the chaos of it. I believed our guys have been very gritty.
“We simply fell one or two performs quick, and we’ll study from it.”
The Raiders may have some late-game magic Tuesday after they host Miami, which is 10-0 and has matched its greatest begin since World Warfare II.
The 1943-44 and 1917-18 groups additionally began 10-0.
They’re within the top-10 within the nation in scoring with a 93.2 common and scoring margin at 24.2. They stored their successful streak alive with a 79-69 win Saturday at Japanese Kentucky.
They’ve an all-time edge within the collection at 21-19 however have misplaced the final six conferences.
Credit score: Bryant Billing
Credit score: Bryant Billing
“I’m grateful we’ve a fast turnaround and grateful we, arguably, are dealing with the most effective group we’ve performed. I do know we’ve performed Butler and Cal. However they’re very heavy in retention. They’re clearly taking part in at a really excessive stage. I can’t wait,” Sargent mentioned.
The RedHawks, led by fourth-year coach Travis Steele, went 25-9 final season and misplaced by two to Akron within the MAC championship recreation.
They’re ranked 119th in KenPom, weighed down by a schedule ranked solely 364th (the second-easiest within the nation).
Wright State is ranked 142nd.
Within the NET rankings, the RedHawks are 79th and the Raiders 139th (81 spots larger than final season)
“I give loads of credit score to educate Steele. He stored his group collectively from final yr. For that to occur, you’ve obtained to have NIL help. And your guys must need to play there and be there. They’ve all of that going,” Sargent mentioned.
“An enormous credit score additionally goes to the athletic division for being severe about successful, and also you’re seeing the fruit of that.”
NEXT GAME
Who: Miami at Wright State
When: 7 p.m. Tuesday
Streaming: ESPN+
Radio: 1410-AM, 101.5-FM
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