2026 MLB Draft Lottery Outcomes Evaluation


The order of the primary spherical of the 2026 MLB Draft will turn out to be official tonight at 5:30 ET when MLB Community broadcasts the league’s fourth annual Draft Lottery stay from the Winter Conferences in Orlando, with a simulcast additionally streaming on MLB.com and within the MLB App.

The Draft Lottery will decide the primary six spots of the primary spherical — essentially the most of any main sport — and the remaining picks will go to the unselected groups with the worst data from the 2025 season. Every workforce’s odds of successful are weighted in order that groups on the backside of the standings have the very best chance of securing a excessive decide. That additionally signifies that the workforce with the most effective odds of successful the highest decide may choose as late as seventh.

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Postseason groups are usually not entered into the lottery, and 15 of the 18 non-playoff groups are eligible this season, with the Rockies, Nationals and Angels excluded. Because the Rockies obtained a lottery decide within the 2024 and ’25 Drafts, they don’t seem to be eligible for this yr’s lottery — groups can’t obtain a lottery decide in additional than two consecutive years. The Nationals and Angels are “payor golf equipment” — groups that give relatively than obtain income sharing {dollars} — and payors can’t obtain a lottery decide in consecutive years. Moreover, non-playoff groups which can be ineligible for the lottery might not obtain higher than the tenth total decide, so the Rockies, Nationals and Angels will draft tenth, eleventh and twelfth in 2026, respectively.

Final yr, the Nationals received the lottery regardless of 10.2 % odds and chosen prep shortstop Eli Willits (WSH No. 1/MLB No. 15) with the No. 1 total decide. The Guardians (’24) and Pirates (’23) received the earlier two lotteries, utilizing these picks to draft Travis Bazzana (CLE No. 1/MLB No. 17) and Paul Skenes (‘23) respectively.

This yr, the percentages of receiving the No. 1 decide vary from 27.73 % for the eligible workforce with the worst document (White Sox) to 0.34 % for the workforce with the most effective document amongst non-playoff golf equipment (Astros). Listed here are these odds, with every workforce’s 2025 successful proportion in parentheses:

27.73 % – White Sox (.370)
22.18 – Twins (.432)
16.81 – Pirates (.438)
9.24 – Orioles (.463)
6.55 – A’s (.469)
4.54 – Braves (.469)
3.03 – Rays (.475)
2.35 – Cardinals (.481)
1.85 – Marlins (.488)
1.51 – D-backs (.494)
1.34 – Rangers (.500)
1.01 – Giants (.500)
0.84 – Royals (.506)
0.67 – Mets (.512)
0.34 – Astros (.537)
0.0 – Rockies (.265 – ineligible for lottery decide)
0.0 – Nationals (.407 – ineligible for lottery decide)
0.0 – Angels (.444 – ineligible for lottery decide)

Observe alongside under for the complete outcomes of the lottery as they’re revealed and watch the stream above or on MLB Community because the outcomes are introduced.



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